Robinhood's Latest Earnings Report Tells You All You Need to Know About the Future of Crypto. These 2 Numbers Really Stood Out.
HOOD's Q3 report showed the crypto trading business shrinking while two newer segments carried the quarter: prediction markets generated $173 million in revenue, up sixfold year-over-year, and Robinhood Chain delivered $26 million in its first quarter on mainnet.
The contrast is stark. Traditional crypto trading revenue fell 55% year-over-year to $120 million. Prediction markets now out-earn that legacy line by $53 million, a notable shift for a company long tied to retail crypto activity.
Sentiment on the Street remains constructive. Of 32 analysts covering HOOD, 26 rate it a buy. That consensus comes with a valuation attached: the stock trades at a 28x forward P/E, a multiple that assumes the newer revenue streams hold up.
Interpretation: the numbers point to a business mix shifting away from cyclical crypto trading toward infrastructure (Robinhood Chain) and event-based contracts (prediction markets). Whether that diversification is durable is the open question, since both segments are young and the $26 million chain figure covers just one quarter of mainnet operation.