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When Companies Stop Driving a Hard Bargain, This Fed Official Starts Worrying

By · Independent market intelligence from Sunday Night Futures LLC
Source: The Wall Street JournalOriginal article →

Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack is warning that policy rates aren't yet restrictive enough to bring inflation under control, citing companies that no longer push back on prices and an economy that keeps running firmly. The Wall Street Journal reports she made her case after spending most of a 90-minute visit last week touring Jergens, a family-run Cleveland manufacturer built on the site of old railroad yards.

The visit gave Hammack a ground-level read on demand. Jack Schron, who showed her around the plant, walked her through how good business has become at the firm. Hammack treats that kind of strength as evidence, not anecdote: when businesses stop driving a hard bargain with suppliers and customers, she reads it as a sign they can hold or raise prices.

Her logic runs in one direction. Pricing power plus resilient activity signals that borrowing costs haven't yet cooled demand enough to push inflation back down. That puts her on the hawkish side of the rate debate, arguing the current stance may need to stay in place or tighten rather than ease.

Interpretation: a regional Fed president anchoring her view in firsthand business conditions suggests she will resist pressure to cut until pricing behavior changes, not just headline readings.

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